🔮 GW19 Complete Guide 🔮
⭐️ Breaking Down Every Game ⭐️ Rating FPL Prospects ⭐️ Predicting Results
🍷 Burnley vs Newcastle ⚫️
Burnley:
- Will most likely sit in a 5-4-1 (see image)
- Lack attacking quality on the counter
- Can be error-prone
Newcastle:
- Will set up in a 4-3-3
- Have struggled to break teams down this season
- Can be vulnerable in transition when they dominate possession
Analysis ✍️
Newcastle struggle to break teams down and won't have Trippier or Livramento available at RB (they help in build-up). I expect Burnley to frustrate them and keep them relatively quiet.
However, Burnley can be error-prone and don't have that much threat in transition, so it's hard to see them punishing Newcastle.
Prediction: Draw!
FPL Ratings
- BUR Defence 🟠 - Good DEFCON opportunity, with a small chance of a CS
- BUR Attack 🟠 - They're not clinical, but I think they'll get a few chances
- NEW Defence 🟠 - Decent chance of a CS
- NEW Attack 🟠 - I think they'll face a robust 5-4-1
🎯 Differential Pick: Wissa (0.6%) - Not confident he starts, but he could be the key to scoring in Burnley's crowded penalty area!
🔵 Chelsea vs Bournemouth 🍒
Chelsea:
- Can be vulnerable in transition (eg. against Villa)
- Commit a lot of men forward
- Palmer hasn't clicked yet
Bournemouth:
- Look very vulnerable to simple long balls (see image)
- Have conceded 27 goals in 9 away games this season
- Always an attacking threat
Analysis ✍️
I expect Chelsea to exploit Bournemouth's vulnerable defence and create a lot of chances. As the game will probably become chaotic, Bournemouth should get some opportunities at the other end.
Prediction: Chelsea win!
FPL Ratings
- CHE Defence 🟠 - Good DEFCON opportunity, with a fair chance of a CS
- CHE Attack 🟢 - Bournemouth have been extremely open
- BOU Defence 🔴 - Good DEFCON opportunity, but this could be a big loss
- BOU Attack 🟠 - They should get some good chances
🎯 Differential Pick: Garnacho (0.6%) - Not 100% confident in his minutes, but Chelsea's wingers could get a lot of opportunities!
🌳 Nottingham Forest vs Everton 🍬
Forest:
- Will probably set up in a 4-4-2 without the ball (see image) and a 4-2-3-1 in possession
- Igor Jesus caused City's CBs a lot of issues
- Hutchinson and Gibbs-White are playing well
Everton:
- Struggled to create chances without Grealish
- Will most likely defend in a 4-4-2
- Play very direct football
Analysis ✍️
Both sides play direct football and are solid without the ball - I expect them to cancel each other out in many ways. Forest have more of their key players available, which is a big boost.
Prediction: Tight Forest win!
FPL Ratings
- NFO Defence 🟠 - Good DEFCON opportunity, with a decent chance of a CS
- NFO Attack 🟠 - Everton are tough to break down
- EVE Defence 🟠 - Good DEFCON opportunity, with a small chance of a CS
- EVE Attack 🟠 - If Grealish is out, this is a red. Ndiaye and KDH's absences are a big loss
🎯 Differential Pick: Gibbs-White (2.8%) - Looked sharp against City and could be key to unlocking Everton's defence!
⚒️ West Ham vs Brighton 🕊️
West Ham:
- Played a 4-2-3-1 in their last game
- Like to drop very deep without the ball (this invites pressure)
- Bowen looks sharp
Brighton:
- Played a 5-2-3/5-4-1 against Arsenal (see image)
- Looked flat without Minteh and Welbeck
- Can be opened up in transition
Analysis ✍️
It's hard to know exactly how both sides will set up, but we'll probably see Brighton dominate the ball, as West Ham sit in their shape.
I expect Brighton to find their way through West Ham's block at times, and think West Ham will have good moments in transition.
Prediction: Tough one to call, draw!
FPL Ratings
- WHU Defence 🟠 - Not expecting a CS
- WHU Attack 🟢 - Brighton can be opened up in transition
- BHA Defence 🟠 - Small chance of a CS
- BHA Attack 🟢 - West Ham invite a lot of attacking pressure, and their defence is vulnerable when isolated
🎯 Differential Pick: Bowen (7.2%) - Should've scored against Fulham and is playing very well!
🔴 Arsenal vs Aston Villa 🥷
Arsenal:
- Will press high in a 4-4-2, and sit in a compact 4-4-2 block (see image) when Villa have the ball
- Dangerous in transition
- Can struggle to break low blocks down
Aston Villa:
- Happy to sit deep in their 4-4-2
- Looked a lot better with Watkins on the pitch against Chelsea
- Conceded a lot of chances against Chelsea
Analysis ✍️
This fixture is always tight. I expect Arsenal to have the upper hand for large periods and create good chances.
However, Villa are dangerous in transition, and Watkins tends to do well against Arsenal's CBs.
Prediction: Tight game, Arsenal win!
FPL Ratings
- ARS Defence 🟠 - Good DEFCON opportunity + a small chance of a CS
- ARS Attack 🟠 - Villa conceded a lot of chances at Stamford Bridge, but I expect them to be a bit more solid in this game
- AVL Defence 🟠 - Good DEFCON opportunity, but a CS is unlikely
- AVL Attack 🟠 - Arsenal are a tough defence to score against, but there might be some space on the counter
🎯 Differential Pick: Watkins (7.4%) - Looked sharp against Chelsea + he tends to play well against Arsenal!
👹 Manchester United vs Wolves 🐺
Manchester United:
- Played a 4-2-3-1 last time out (we could see this again)
- Their attacking play looked very slick against Newcastle
- Mount's injury could be a big loss
Wolves:
- Will sit deep in a 5-4-1 (see image) or a 5-3-2
- Look open whenever they come out of their shape
- Haven't been good enough in the final third
Analysis ✍️
This looks like a great fixture for United, but they could struggle to break down Wolves' deep block (especially if Mount is out). Also, Wolves' attack has been poor but has shown some improvements (Mane looks useful).
However, the more opportunities Wolves get to attack, the more vulnerable they could be in transition (also, Andre is suspended).
Prediction: United win!
FPL Ratings
- MUN Defence 🟢 - Good chance of a CS
- MUN Attack 🟢 - Wolves can be solid, but United created plenty of chances in the reverse fixture in GW15
- WOL Defence 🟠 - Good DEFCON opportunity, with a small chance of a CS
- WOL Attack 🟠 - United can be vulnerable in transition
🎯 Differential Pick: Strand Larsen (0.9%) - Huge punt, but if Wolves score, I expect him to be involved!
🦅 Crystal Palace vs Fulham ⚪️
Crystal Palace:
- Will set up in a 5-4-1
- Look flat in attack without Munoz and Sarr
- With less attacking threat, they can lose control of games
Fulham:
- Will most likely set up in a 4-4-2 (see image)
- Have kept 2 clean sheets in a row, but they've been slightly fortunate
- Look less attacking without Iwobi and Chukwueze (AFCON)
Analysis ✍️
Both sides are quite solid, so I expect them to cancel each other out. I think we'll see a cagey game that is decided by moments, rather than by either team dominating for long periods.
Prediction: Draw!
FPL Ratings
- CRY Defence 🟢 - Decent CS + DEFCON opportunity
- CRY Attack 🟠 - Their attack is quite weak at the moment
- FUL Defence 🟢 - Decent CS + DEFCON opportunity
- FUL Attack 🟠 - Palace are still a solid defence
🎯 Differential Pick: Raul (2.4%) - He's scored in 2 consecutive games and is always a threat!
🔴 Liverpool vs Leeds ⚪️
Liverpool:
- Their attack hasn't looked that threatening recently
- Vulnerable from set-pieces
- Dangerous when games open up (more space in transition)
Leeds:
- Have been setting up in a solid 5-4-1 (see image), but may move to a 4-5-1 if Rodon is out
- Dangerous in transition (DCL and Okafor have looked good)
- Very physical in midfield + strong from set-pieces
Analysis ✍️
I think Leeds can keep Liverpool relatively quiet with their block, especially if they play a back 5. However, if Leeds open up, Liverpool can definitely overwhelm them.
Rodon's availability could have a big impact on how this game goes.
Prediction: Narrow Liverpool win!
FPL Ratings
- LIV Defence 🟠 - Decent CS + DEFCON opportunity
- LIV Attack 🟢 - A Leeds back 4 could give Liverpool more space
- LEE Defence 🟠 - Decent DEFCON opportunity
- LEE Attack 🟠 - I think Leeds will have dangerous moments
🎯 Differential Pick: Calvert-Lewin (8.8%) - He's scored in 6 consecutive games and is still somehow a differential!
🐝 Brentford vs Spurs ⚪️
Brentford:
- Will play a 4-4-2 (see image)
- Very direct on the ball
- Defenders can be error-prone when isolated
Spurs:
- Will defend in a 4-4-2
- Have struggled to create chances this season
- Dangerous from set-pieces
Analysis ✍️
In GW15, both sides cancelled each other out, and the game was decided by Spurs exploiting poor Brentford defending. I think we'll see another tight game.
Brentford have lost Ouattara, which reduces their attacking threat. Similarly, Spurs will be without Simons, who was decisive in the reverse fixture.
Prediction: Tight Brentford win!
FPL Ratings
- BRE Defence 🟠 - Decent CS + DEFCON opportunity
- BRE Attack 🟠 - Spurs can be vulnerable
- TOT Defence 🟠 - Decent DEFCON opportunity, with a small chance of a CS
- TOT Attack 🟠 - I think it will be a tight game, but they should get a few opportunities
🎯 Differential Pick: Schade (1.4%) - Just scored a hat-trick and is always dangerous whenever there's space in behind!
🐈⬛ Sunderland vs Manchester City 🔵
Sunderland:
- Have been playing a 4-4-2 (see image)
- Can be weak in the final third
- Tough to break down
Manchester City:
- Love to create central overloads
- Have looked vulnerable against physical CFs
- Cherki looks very dangerous
Analysis ✍️
Sunderland have been playing a 4-4-2, but they may switch to a back 5 to better deal with City's attacking threat.
Brobbey and Isidor have the physicality to cause Gvardiol and Dias problems, so Sunderland could have some joy in transition. I expect Sunderland to make life difficult for City.
Prediction: Tight City win!
FPL Ratings
- SUN Defence 🟠 - Good DEFCON opportunity, with a small chance of a CS
- SUN Attack 🟠 - City can be open on the counter
- MCI Defence 🟢 - Good CS opportunity
- MCI Attack 🟠 - I think Sunderland will be tough to break down
🎯 Differential Pick: Brobbey (0.3%) - He's a big physical presence + he hit the bar against Leeds!